Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.241435e-04 0.000143 0.000163 0.000185 0.000209 0.000234 0.000261
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.883204e-05 0.000116 0.000147 0.000184 0.000226 0.000272 0.000325
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.569477e-05 0.000109 0.000148 0.000196 0.000253 0.000317 0.000393
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.273382e-05 0.000099 0.000143 0.000200 0.000268 0.000348 0.000445
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.396322e-05 0.000092 0.000141 0.000206 0.000286 0.000380 0.000497
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.596579e-05 0.000085 0.000138 0.000209 0.000299 0.000408 0.000543
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.629042e-05 0.000074 0.000128 0.000203 0.000301 0.000420 0.000571
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.714861e-05 0.000063 0.000116 0.000193 0.000296 0.000424 0.000588
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.165759e-05 0.000056 0.000110 0.000191 0.000300 0.000438 0.000617
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.750311e-05 0.000051 0.000105 0.000190 0.000306 0.000454 0.000649
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.348286e-05 0.000045 0.000099 0.000186 0.000308 0.000465 0.000674
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.147738e-05 0.000043 0.000099 0.000189 0.000319 0.000488 0.000714
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.681970e-06 0.000038 0.000094 0.000187 0.000323 0.000502 0.000743
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.554353e-06 0.000034 0.000090 0.000186 0.000329 0.000518 0.000776
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.286788e-06 0.000035 0.000095 0.000198 0.000353 0.000559 0.000841
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.135955e-06 0.000033 0.000094 0.000202 0.000365 0.000584 0.000884
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.387511e-06 0.000032 0.000095 0.000208 0.000380 0.000613 0.000935
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.523378e-06 0.000030 0.000094 0.000211 0.000392 0.000638 0.000978
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.216641e-06 0.000026 0.000088 0.000205 0.000390 0.000644 0.000997
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.096642e-06 0.000021 0.000080 0.000195 0.000381 0.000640 0.001004
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.042846e-07 0.000019 0.000076 0.000193 0.000383 0.000651 0.001030
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.145623e-07 0.000017 0.000073 0.000192 0.000387 0.000665 0.001060
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.052947e-07 0.000014 0.000069 0.000188 0.000387 0.000672 0.001081